TRX Price Prediction: Will It Reach $1? Analyzing the Path Forward

#TRX

• MACD bullish crossover suggests potential upward momentum despite current price trading below 20-day moving average
• Mixed news sentiment with Justin Sun's frozen assets creating short-term uncertainty but strong adoption trends providing long-term support
• $1 target requires breaking multiple resistance levels and represents a 204% increase from current price

TRX Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: TRX Price Outlook

TRX is currently trading at $0.3284, below its 20-day moving average of $0.34367, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The MACD shows a positive crossover with a reading of 0.016066 above the signal line at 0.007705, suggesting potential upward momentum. Bollinger Bands position the price NEAR the lower band at $0.31934, which could act as support. According to BTCC financial analyst William, 'The technical setup shows mixed signals with MACD bullish divergence but price trading below key moving averages. A break above the middle Bollinger Band at $0.34367 could trigger further upside movement.'

TRON Price

Market Sentiment Analysis

Recent news presents a complex picture for TRX. Justin Sun's $10M WLFI holdings freeze creates short-term uncertainty, while Tron's potential breakout narrative and BlockDAG's $400M presale success provide positive catalysts. The record $5.8B stablecoin transfer volume in August 2025 indicates growing crypto adoption, which could benefit established projects like Tron. BTCC financial analyst William notes, 'While the Justin Sun news creates near-term headwinds, the underlying adoption trends and project developments suggest long-term fundamental strength. Market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic despite the technical challenges.'

Factors Influencing TRX's Price

Justin Sun's $10M WLFI Holdings Frozen by Trump-Linked Crypto Firm

Justin Sun, Prime Minister of Liberland and founder of TRON blockchain, alleges unfair freezing of 545M WLFI tokens ($10M) by World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a crypto venture tied to Donald Trump. The freeze followed Sun's sale of 50M tokens—a transaction compliant with WLFI's 20% liquidation cap for early investors.

Blockchain analytics firm Nansen confirmed the wallet blacklist, which now holds 595M WLFI tokens ($107M). WLFI acknowledged community concerns about blacklisting but avoided direct comment on Sun's case. The incident has rattled investor confidence, with market observers speculating about political motivations behind the freeze.

Sun remains WLFI's largest backer, having invested $75M in 2025 after an initial $30M commitment. The TRON founder's public dispute with the Trump-affiliated project underscores growing tensions between crypto magnates and politically connected ventures.

Weekly Crypto Recap: Justin Sun's Wallet Freeze, Robinhood's S&P 500 Entry, and Global Adoption Trends

Tron founder Justin Sun faced backlash after World Liberty Financial (WLFI) froze 540 million unlocked and 2.4 billion locked tokens tied to his wallets. The move followed a $9.2 million WLFI token transfer flagged as suspicious. Sun dismissed the action as "unreasonable," claiming routine portfolio adjustments.

Robinhood Markets Inc. saw shares surge past $108 after securing a spot in the S&P 500 effective September 22. The milestone signals growing mainstream acceptance of crypto-friendly platforms.

Global adoption accelerated as institutional players deepened ETH and BTC exposure. The UK tightened crypto oversight while India retained its position as the leader in grassroots adoption. Market movements reflected these developments, with particular attention to regulatory actions and exchange-level interventions.

Stablecoin Retail Transfers Surge to Record $5.8B in August 2025

Stablecoin adoption among retail users has reached unprecedented levels, with transaction volumes through August 2025 surpassing the entirety of 2024. Retail-sized transfers under $250 hit a historic $5.84 billion in August alone, according to data from Visa and Allium cited in a CEX.io report. This milestone marks 2025 as the most active year for consumer-level stablecoin activity with four months remaining.

The trend highlights stablecoins' deepening integration into daily financial operations, from cross-border remittances to microtransactions. Emerging market surveys reveal a clear driver: frustration with traditional banking. Over 2,600 respondents across Nigeria, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Indonesia cited high fees and slow transfers as key reasons for adopting dollar-pegged cryptocurrencies. Nearly 70% reported increased stablecoin usage year-over-year, with more than 75% anticipating further growth.

Blockchain preferences are shifting beneath this surge. While Tron (TRX) previously dominated retail transfers due to its low-cost USDT transactions, Ethereum is now gaining ground. The changing dynamics suggest users are prioritizing network reliability over minimal fees as stablecoins mature into mainstream financial tools.

Tron Eyes Breakout as BlockDAG Gains Momentum with $400M Presale

Tron (TRX) shows resilience, trading around $0.34 with analysts eyeing a potential breakout toward $0.38. The token has held key support at $0.33, while neutral RSI readings suggest balanced market sentiment. Momentum indicators hint at underlying strength, though broader market conditions remain a factor.

Chainlink (LINK) faces a pivotal moment at the $28 threshold. A failure to hold could see a drop to $16, while sustained momentum may propel it into the low $30s. Both TRX and LINK remain tethered to speculative chart setups and market volatility.

BlockDAG (BDAG) emerges as a standout, bypassing speculation with tangible fundamentals: 4,500 developers, 300+ dApps, and $400 million raised in presale. Priced at $0.0013, its ROI potential—projected up to $1—reflects a fundamentally different trajectory. Unlike TRX and LINK, BlockDAG’s momentum is built on infrastructure rather than price action alone.

Will TRX Price Hit 1?

Based on current technical and fundamental analysis, reaching $1 represents a 204% increase from the current price of $0.3284. While the MACD shows bullish momentum and growing crypto adoption provides positive fundamentals, several challenges remain. The price needs to break through multiple resistance levels, including the 20-day MA at $0.34367 and the upper Bollinger Band at $0.368. BTCC financial analyst William suggests, 'While $1 is possible in the long term, it would require sustained bullish momentum, positive regulatory developments, and continued adoption growth. Short-term, traders should watch for a break above $0.368 as the first significant resistance level.'